NFL Super Bowl odds 2022: Proven computer model reveals predictions, picks to win, teams to avoid

Bill Mount

The past two Super Bowl champions have the best odds to return to the big game and win Super Bowl 56 at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, Calif., according to William Hill Sportsbook. Patrick Mahomes and the Super Bowl 54 champion Kansas City Chiefs are the +500 favorites (risk $100 to […]

The past two Super Bowl champions have the best odds to return to the big game and win Super Bowl 56 at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, Calif., according to William Hill Sportsbook. Patrick Mahomes and the Super Bowl 54 champion Kansas City Chiefs are the +500 favorites (risk $100 to win $500) in the latest 2022 Super Bowl odds, while Tom Brady’s Tampa Bay Buccaneers, the Super Bowl LV champs, are +650. The Buccaneers defeated the Chiefs 31-9 last February.

Among the other 2022 Super Bowl favorites are the Buffalo Bills at +1300, and the Los Angeles Rams, San Francisco 49ers and Baltimore Ravens, all at +1400. The Cleveland Browns and Green Bay Packers are both listed at +1600 in the Super Bowl 56 odds. Before making any 2022 Super Bowl picks based on the latest NFL odds, you need to check out the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,900 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six years ago. It went a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks last season, returning more than $800. The model also enters the 2021 season on an incredible 120-78 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, it has set its sights on finding value in the 2022 Super Bowl odds. You can see its top NFL picks and predictions here.

Top 2022 Super Bowl predictions

After simulating the season 10,000 times, the model likes the value of the Tennessee Titans at +3500. Tennessee featured a triple threat on offense with quarterback Ryan Tannehill, who threw for nearly 4,000 yards, 2,000-yard rusher Derrick Henry and 1,000-yard receiver A.J. Brown. Tannehill completed 65.5 percent of his passes last season, tossing 33 touchdowns with just seven interceptions for a 106.5 rating. Henry was a beast on the ground, rushing for 2,027 yards and 17 touchdowns, including 16 plays of 20 or more yards.

Brown is fast becoming one of the league’s best receivers. The 2019 second-round pick had 70 receptions for 1,075 yards and 11 touchdowns and in his two-year career, has already piled up 122 catches for 2,126 yards and 19 touchdowns. Tennessee also got much-needed pass rushing help in free agency. The Titans signed edge rusher Bud Dupree, who previously played for the Pittsburgh Steelers, and defensive lineman Denico Autry, who had 7 ½ sacks for the Indianapolis Colts a year ago.

With the return of several key pieces in a potent offense and a defense that looks to be improved, the Titans win Super Bowl LVI 3.3 percent of the time, according to the model. That’s more than the implied winning percentage based on the team’s +3500 Super Bowl odds 2022 at William Hill Sportsbook, making Tennessee a good value.

How to make 2022 Super Bowl picks

The model is also high on a juicy long shot in the AFC that would pay even better than the Colts. You need to see the model’s analysis before making any Super Bowl 56 bets.

So which long shot provides a juicy price to win Super Bowl LVI? And what other teams provide value at their current Super Bowl 2022 odds? Check out the latest Super Bowl LVI odds below, then visit SportsLine to see the picks from the model that’s up almost $7,900.

2022 Super Bowl odds to win

Chiefs +525
Buccaneers +650
Bills +1300
Ravens +1400
Rams +1400
49ers +1400
Packers +1600
Browns +1800
Broncos +2000
Colts +2500
Saints +2500
Seahawks +2500
Dolphins +2800
Cowboys +2800
Titans +3000
Patriots +3000
Steelers +3500
Chargers +3500
Cardinals +4000
Vikings +4000
Falcons +5000
Bears +5000
Washington Football Team +5000
Panthers +6000
Raiders +7000
Giants +7500
Eagles +7500
Bengals +10000
Jaguars +10000
Jets +10000
Lions +15000
Texans +20000

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